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    portada The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new Section: "on Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) (en Inglés)
    Formato
    Libro Físico
    Año
    2010
    Idioma
    Inglés
    N° páginas
    480
    Encuadernación
    Tapa Blanda
    Dimensiones
    21.8 x 11.5 x 2.6 cm
    Peso
    0.33 kg.
    ISBN
    9780812973815
    ISBN13
    9780812973815
    N° edición
    0002

    The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new Section: "on Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) (en Inglés)

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Autor) · Random House Trade · Tapa Blanda

    The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new Section: "on Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) (en Inglés) - Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

    5 estrellas - de un total de 5 estrellas 1 opiniones
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    Reseña del libro "The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new Section: "on Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) (en Inglés)"

    The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don't know, now with a new section called "On Robustness and Fragility." A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan.

    Opiniones del libro

    AnónimoLunes 08 de Febrero, 2021

    " Excelente libro, 100% recomendado "

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    Todos los libros de nuestro catálogo son Originales.
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    El libro está escrito en Inglés.
    Respuesta:
    La encuadernación de esta edición es Tapa Blanda.

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